Not 2 Green  |  is nothing new

The Polar Vortex  is nothing new - in fact, it's thought that the term first appeared in an 1853 issue of E. Littell's  Living Age .   NOAA

NOAA Speaks


Rather, cold-air outbreaks are most directly related to transient, localized displacements of the edge of the tropospheric polar vortex that may, in some circumstances, be related to the stratospheric polar vortex, but there is no known one-to-one connection between these phenomena.


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NASA Graphic example

if-the-polar-vortex-is-due-to-global-warming-why-are-US-cold-waves-decreasing ?

Not 2 Green  |  Error on Errors

Is model error propagation a completely foreign idea to IPCC climate modelers ?

Prof. Whiting, author of a paper in the journal Fluid Phase Equilibria, responding to this question, in part :

“ ... it is surprisingly unusual for modelers to include uncertainty analyses. In my work, I’ve tried to treat a computer model as an experimentalist treats a piece of laboratory equipment. A result should never be reported without giving reasonable error estimates.”


Professor Whitings Paper


the Monte Carlo methodology


Are Climate Models accurate ?


climate models versus climate reality

Not 2 Green  |  Mark your Calendar

PETER JAMES SPIELMANN ( AP )  June 29, 1989

 

 

Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.

He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control . 

 

Full Associated Press article